The test applied a hypothetical adverse scenario to the Group’s balance sheet as at 31 December 2016 and compared the theoretical Common Equity Tier 1 (“CET1”) ratio and Tier 1 leverage ratio positions of RBS before and after the impact of strategic management actions.
RBS's low point CET1 ratio under the hypothetical adverse scenario would have been 6.4% before the impact of strategic management actions. This is below RBS’s updated 6.7% Individual Capital Guidance (“ICG”) and below the post-stress CET1 Systemic Reference Point (“SRP”) of 7.4% (please refer to definitions in notes below the table). After the impact of strategic management actions, the ratio would have been 7.0%. This takes the result above the ICG hurdle rate of 6.7% but it remains below the SRP of 7.4%.
RBS’s Tier 1 leverage ratio under the hypothetical adverse scenario would have been 3.7% before the impact of strategic management actions. This is above the hurdle rate of 3.25%. After the impact of strategic management actions, the ratio would have been 4.0%.
The reduction in the CET1 ratio from the start point to the minimum stressed ratio before the impact of 'strategic' management actions or AT1 conversion has improved from 1,000 basis points last year to 700 basis points this year. The bank has taken a number of actions since 31 December 2016 to improve its capital position stress resilience, including the on-going run-down of Capital Resolution (risk-weighted assets (“RWAs”) reduced by £11.4 billion (33%) to £23.1 billion in the first nine months of 2017), the continued reduction in certain credit portfolios and the resolution of various litigation cases and regulatory investigations. A number of these actions impacted our CET1 ratio which was 15.5% as at 30 September 2017, compared to 13.4% as at 31 December 2016. This is above RBS’s CET1 ratio target of 13.0%.
RBS has not been required to submit a revised capital plan.
Commenting on the results, Ewen Stevenson, Chief Financial Officer, said:
“We continue to make progress towards the stress resilient bank we aspire to be. 2017 represented another year of material improvement with our peak-to-trough stress resilience improving by 300bps from last year's stress test. Until we have resolved our remaining major legacy conduct issues and non-core portfolio interests, we will continue to show stress test results weaker than our long term targets.”
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1. ICG is the amount and quality of capital resources which the regulator requires a firm should hold at all times under the overall financial adequacy rules. RBS’s updated CET1 ICG comprises 4.5% Pillar 1 requirement and 2.2% Pillar 2A.
2. Systemic reference point defined as sum of P1, P2A and a 75% per annum phase-in of the current 1% G-SIB buffer.
3. The projections of RBS’s financial performance under hypothetical stress included in this announcement are based on the methodology and calculations of the BoE. This does not represent RBS’s projections or base capital plan assumptions.
This announcement contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including those related to RBS and its subsidiaries’ regulatory capital position, risk-weighted assets, impairment losses and credit exposures under certain specified scenarios. In addition, forward-looking statements may include, without limitation, statements typically containing words such as "intends", "expects", "anticipates", "targets", "plans", "estimates" and words of similar import. These statements concern or may affect future matters, such as RBS's future economic results, business and capital plans and current strategies. Forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that might cause actual results and performance to differ materially from any expected future results or performance expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause or contribute to differences in current expectations include, but are not limited to, legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments, competitive conditions, technological developments, exchange rate fluctuations and general economic conditions. These and other factors, risks and uncertainties that may impact any forward-looking statement or RBS’s actual results are discussed in RBS's UK Annual Report and materials filed with, or furnished to, the US Securities and Exchange Commission, including, but not limited to, RBS's Reports on Form 6-K and most recent Annual Report on Form 20-F. The forward-looking statements contained in this announcement speak only as of the date of this announcement and RBS does not assume or undertake any obligation or responsibility to update any of the forward-looking statements contained in this announcement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except to the extent legally required.